{"id":23,"date":"2020-02-06T10:00:27","date_gmt":"2020-02-06T09:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/?page_id=23"},"modified":"2026-04-14T16:50:19","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T14:50:19","slug":"publications","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/publications\/","title":{"rendered":"Research"},"content":{"rendered":"

Recent Working Papers<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Mayer T, M\u00e9jean I. & Thoenig M., 2025, “The Fragmentation Paradox: De-risking Trade and Global Safety”, CEPR Working Paper 20564, latest version (november 2025) here<\/a> with online Appendix here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Bonadio B., Levchenko A., Rohner D. & Thoenig M., 2024, “Feeding the Tigers: Remittances and Conflict in Sri Lanka”, NBER Working Paper 33062. Latest version (January 2026) here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Colella F, Lalive R., Sakalli S. & Thoenig M., 2019, “Inference with Arbitrary Clustering”, IZA Working Paper 12584. Latest version here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Couttenier M., Marcoux J., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2022, “The Gravity of Violence”, CEPR Working Paper 19527, latest version (here<\/a>) and Online Appendix (here<\/a>). R&R Journal of Political Economy<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Publications<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mayer T, M\u00e9jean I. & Thoenig M., 2026, “Can sanctions deter wars? The Russia-Ukraine Case”, CEPR Working Paper 21007. Forthcoming American Economic Review<\/i><\/strong>, Papers & Proceedings, here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Eberle\u00a0 U. J., Rohner D. & Thoenig M., “Heat and Hate: Climate Security and Farmer-Herder Conflicts in Africa”<\/a>, Review of Economics and Statistics<\/em><\/strong>, 2025.<\/p>\n

Thoenig M., “Trade policy in the shadow of war: A quantitative toolkit for geoeconomics<\/a>“, chapter 8 in O. Dube, M. Morelli, D. Ray (eds), vol.1 of the\u00a0 Handbook of the Economics of Conflict<\/em><\/strong>, North-Holland, 2024, 325-380.<\/p>\n

Laurent-Lucchetti J., Rohner D. & Thoenig M.,\u00a0 “Ethnic Conflicts and the Informational Dividend of Democracy<\/a>“, Journal of European Economic Association<\/em><\/strong>, 2024, 22 (1), 73-116.<\/p>\n

Couttenier M., Hatte S., Thoenig M. & S. Vlachos, “The Logic of Fear: Populism and Media Coverage of Immigrant Crimes<\/a>“, (longer version as CEPR Working Paper 13496).<\/a><\/em> Review of Economics and Statistics<\/em><\/strong>. 2024, 106(2): 576-585.<\/p>\n

Buggle J., Mayer T., Sakalli S. & Thoenig M., “The Refugee’s Dilemma:\u00a0 Evidence from Jewish Migration out of Nazi Germany”. Quarterly Journal of Economics<\/em><\/strong>, 2023, 138 (2), 1273-1345.<\/p>\n

Esposito E., Rotesi T., Saia A. & Thoenig M., “Reconciliation Narratives: The Birth of a Nation after the US Civil War”, American Economic Review<\/em><\/strong>, 2023, <\/em>113(6), 1461-1504.<\/p>\n

Colella F, Lalive R., Sakalli S. & Thoenig M., “acreg: Arbitrary correlation regression<\/a>“. The Stata Journal<\/strong>, 2023, 1: 119-147<\/p>\n

Algan Y., Malgouyres C., Mayer T., & Thoenig M., \u201c<\/span>The Economic Incentives of Cultural Transmission: Spatial Evidence from Naming Patterns across France<\/a>\u201d<\/span>.\u00a0 Economic Journal<\/strong><\/em><\/i>, 2022, 132, 437-470.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rohner D. & Thoenig M., “The Elusive Peace Dividend of Development Policy: From War Traps to Macro-Complementarities<\/a>“, CEPR Working Paper 15574. Annual Review of Economics<\/strong><\/em>, 2021, 13: 111-131.<\/p>\n

Bonardi J.P, Bris A., Br\u00fclhart M., Danthine J.P., Jondeau E., Rohner D. & Thoenig M., ” The Case for Reopening Economies by Sector<\/a>” Harvard Businesss Review<\/em><\/strong>, 19 May 2020.<\/p>\n

Couttenier M., Preotu V., Rohner D., Thoenig M., \u201cThe violent Legacy of Victimization: Post-Conflict Evidence on Asylum Seekers, Crimes and Public Policy in Switzerland\u201d<\/a>, American Economic Review, <\/strong>2019, 109(12):4378-4425.<\/strong> Media coverage : AEA Research Highlights, Atlantico, RTS, Le Monde, Citoyennet\u00e9 active, La vie Economique\/Die Volkswirtschaft
\n<\/em><\/p>\n

Bas M., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., \u201cFrom micro to macro: Demand and supply-side determinants of the trade elasticity\u201d<\/a>, Journal of International Economics<\/b>, 2017, 108, 1-19, (Lead article)<\/i><\/p>\n

Koenig M., Rohner D., Thoenig M. & Zilibotti F., “Networks in Conflict Theory and Evidence from the Great War of Africa”<\/a>, Econometrica<\/strong>, 2017, 85, 1093-1132, Online appendix<\/a>. Media Coverage : RSI Rete Due<\/em><\/p>\n

Berman N., Couttenier M., Rohner D. & Thoenig M., \u201cThis Mine is mine! How Minerals Fuel Conflicts in Africa\u201d<\/a>.\u00a0 American Economic Review<\/strong>, 2017, 107, 1564-1610. online appendix <\/a> Media coverage: The Economist, AEA Research Highlights, Sverige Radio, SWR2, NZZ, Africa Times, Finanz und Wirtschaft, Le Monde, Monthly Review, FranceTV Info<\/em><\/p>\n

Cacault M. P., Goette L., Lalive R., Thoenig M., 2015, \u201cDo We Harm Others Even if We Don\u2019t Need To?\u201d<\/a>, Frontiers in Psychology, section Evolutionary Psychology and Neuroscience<\/strong>,<\/em> 6(729)<\/p>\n

Head K., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2014, “Welfare and Trade without Pareto<\/a>“, American Economic Review<\/i><\/strong>, Papers & Proceedings, 104(5), 310-316. (Online Appendix<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Maystre A., Olivier J., Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2014, “Product-based cultural change: is the village global ?<\/a>“, Journal of International Economics<\/strong>, <\/i>92(2), 212-230 (Lead Article).<\/p>\n

Rohner D., Thoenig M. & Zilibotti F., 2013, “War Signals: A Theory of Trade, Trust and Conflict<\/a>“, Review of Economic Studies<\/strong>,<\/i> 80(3), 1114-1147. (Online appendix<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Rohner D., Thoenig M. & Zilibotti F., 2013, “Seeds of distrust: conflict in Uganda<\/a>“, Journal of Economic Growth<\/i><\/strong>, 18<\/i>(3), 217-252.<\/p>\n

Martin P., Mayer T. & Thoenig M. (2012), “The Geography of Conflicts and Regional Trade Agreements<\/a>“, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics<\/i><\/strong>, 4<\/i>(4), 1-35 (Lead Article).<\/p>\n

Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2011, “Contrasting Trends in Firm Volatility<\/a>“, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics<\/i><\/strong>, 3<\/i>(4), 143-180. (Online Appendix)<\/p>\n

Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2010, “A macroeconomic perspective on knowledge management<\/a>“, Journal of Economic Growth<\/i><\/strong>, 15<\/i>(1), 33-63.<\/p>\n

Levchenko A., Ranci\u00e8re R. & Thoenig M., 2009, “Growth and Risk at the Industry-level: The Real Effects of Financial Liberalization<\/a>“, Journal of Development Economics<\/i><\/strong>, 89<\/i>(2), 210-222.<\/p>\n

Landier A., Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2008, “Investigating the Origins of Capitalism-Aversion<\/a>“, Economic Policy<\/i><\/strong>, Issue 55 (July).
\n<\/i>
\nMartin P., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2008, “Make Trade not War?<\/a>“, Review of Economic Studies<\/i><\/strong>, 75<\/i>(3).<\/p>\n

Martin P., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2008, “Civil Wars and International Trade<\/a>“, Journal of the European Economic Association<\/i><\/strong>, 6<\/i>(2-3), 541-550.<\/p>\n

Olivier J., Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2008, “Globalization and the Dynamics of Cultural Identity<\/a>“, Journal of International Economics<\/i><\/strong>, 76<\/i>, 356-370.<\/p>\n

Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2007,\u00a0 “From Flexibility to Insecurity: How Outsourcing Amplifies Firm Level Uncertainty<\/a>” Journal of the European Economic Association<\/i><\/strong>, 5<\/i>(6), 1161-1202.<\/p>\n

Askenazy P., Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2006, “On the Relation between organizational practices and new technologies: the role of time based Competition<\/a>“, Economic Journal<\/i><\/strong>, 116 (January), 128-154.<\/p>\n

Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2003, “A Theory of Defensive Skill-Biased Innovation and Globalization<\/a>“, American Economic Review<\/i><\/strong>, 93<\/i>(3), 709-728.<\/p>\n

Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2000, “Creative Destruction and Firm Organization Choice<\/a>“, Quarterly Journal of Economics<\/i><\/strong>, 115<\/i>(4), 1201-1239.<\/p>\n

Research Articles in French<\/span>
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

Maurin E., Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2003, “Mondialisation des \u00e9changes et emploi: le r\u00f4le des exportations”, Economie et Statistiques<\/i><\/strong>, 33-44.<\/p>\n

Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2003, “Une th\u00e9orie de l’innovation d\u00e9fensive bias\u00e9e vers le travail qualifi\u00e9”, Economie et Statistiques<\/i><\/strong>, 19-32.<\/p>\n

Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 1999, “Choix d’organisation dans un environnement instable: une analyse macro\u00e9conomique”, Revue Economique<\/i><\/strong>, 50<\/i>(3), 393-403.<\/p>\n

Books<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Martin P., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2006, La mondialisation est-elle un facteur de paix?<\/i>, Editions de la Rue d’Ulm.<\/p>\n

Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2006, The impact of Rules of Origins on Strategic Outsourcing: an IO perspective. In Cadot O., Estevadeordal A., Suwa A. & Verdier T. (Eds.), The Origin of Goods,<\/i> Oxford University Press.<\/p>\n

Unpublished Working Papers<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Maurin E., Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2002, \u201cHow globalization impacts the labor demand by skill? An export based channel<\/a>\u201d, CEPR Working Paper 3406.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Recent Working Papers Mayer T, M\u00e9jean I. & Thoenig M., 2025, “The Fragmentation Paradox: De-risking Trade and Global Safety”, CEPR Working Paper 20564, latest version (november 2025) here with online Appendix here. Bonadio B., Levchenko A., Rohner D. & Thoenig M., 2024, “Feeding the Tigers: Remittances and Conflict in Sri Lanka”, NBER Working Paper 33062. … <\/p>\n

Continue reading “Research”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":74,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":1,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-23","page","type-page","status-publish"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/23","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/74"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/23\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":736,"href":"https:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/23\/revisions\/736"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/people.unil.ch\/mathiasthoenig\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}