Recent Working Papers

Thoenig M., 2023, “Trade Policy in the Shadow of War: Quantitative Tools for Geoeconomics”, CEPR Working Paper, most recent version here.

Couttenier M., Marcoux J., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2022, “The Gravity of Violence”, most recent version here

Colella F, Lalive R., Sakalli S. & Thoenig M., 2019, “Inference with Arbitrary Clustering”, IZA Working Paper 12584. Most recent version here.


Buggle J., Mayer T., Sakalli S. & Thoenig M., “The Refugee’s Dilemma:  Evidence from Jewish Migration out of Nazi Germany”. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2023, 138 (2), 1273-1345.

Esposito E., Rotesi T., Saia A. & Thoenig M., “Reconciliation Narratives: The Birth of a Nation after the US Civil War”, American Economic Review, 2023, 113(6), 1461-1504.

Eberle  U. J., Rohner D. & Thoenig M., 2023, “Heat and Hate: Climate Security and Farmer-Herder Conflicts in Africa”, CEPR Working Paper 15542. Cond. accepted, Review of Economics and Statistics. Most recent version here

Laurent-Lucchetti J., Rohner D. & Thoenig M., 2023, “Ethnic Conflicts and the Informational Dividend of Democracy“, CEPR Working Paper 14182. Forthcoming Journal of European Economic Association.

Colella F, Lalive R., Sakalli S. & Thoenig M., “acreg: Arbitrary correlation regression“. The Stata Journal, 2023, 1: 119-147

Algan Y., Malgouyres C., Mayer T., & Thoenig M., “The Economic Incentives of Cultural Transmission: Spatial Evidence from Naming Patterns across France Economic Journal, 2022, 132, 437-470.

Couttenier M., Hatte S., Thoenig M. & S. Vlachos, 2021, “The Logic of Fear: Populism and Media Coverage of Immigrant Crimes“, (longer version as CEPR Working Paper 13496). Forthcoming Review of Economics and Statistics.

Rohner D. & Thoenig M., “The Elusive Peace Dividend of Development Policy: From War Traps to Macro-Complementarities“, CEPR Working Paper 15574. Annual Review of Economics, 2021, 13: 111-131.

Bonardi J.P, Bris A., Brülhart M., Danthine J.P., Jondeau E., Rohner D. & Thoenig M., ” The Case for Reopening Economies by SectorHarvard Businesss Review, 19 May 2020.

Couttenier M., Preotu V., Rohner D., Thoenig M., “The violent Legacy of Victimization: Post-Conflict Evidence on Asylum Seekers, Crimes and Public Policy in Switzerland”, American Economic Review, 2019, 109(12):4378-4425. Media coverage : AEA Research Highlights, Atlantico, RTS, Le Monde, Citoyenneté active, La vie Economique/Die Volkswirtschaft

Bas M., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., “From micro to macro: Demand and supply-side determinants of the trade elasticity”, Journal of International Economics, 2017, 108, 1-19, (Lead article)

Koenig M., Rohner D.,Thoenig M. & Zilibotti F., “Networks in Conflict Theory and Evidence from the Great War of Africa”, Econometrica, 2017, 85, 1093-1132, Online appendix. Media Coverage : RSI Rete Due

Berman N., Couttenier M., Rohner D. & Thoenig M., “This Mine is mine! How Minerals Fuel Conflicts in Africa”American Economic Review, 2017, 107, 1564-1610. online appendix Media coverage: The Economist, AEA Research Highlights, Sverige Radio, SWR2, NZZ, Africa Times, Finanz und Wirtschaft, Le Monde, Monthly Review, FranceTV Info

Cacault M. P., Goette L., Lalive R., Thoenig M., 2015, “Do We Harm Others Even if We Don’t Need To?”, Frontiers in Psychology, section Evolutionary Psychology and Neuroscience, 6(729)

Head K., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2014, “Welfare and Trade without Pareto“, American Economic Review, Papers & Proceedings, 104(5), 310-316. (Online Appendix)

Maystre A., Olivier J., Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2014, “Product-based cultural change: is the village global ?“, Journal of International Economics, 92(2), 212-230 (Lead Article).

Rohner D., Thoenig M. & Zilibotti F., 2013, “War Signals: A Theory of Trade, Trust and Conflict“, Review of Economic Studies, 80(3), 1114-1147. (Online appendix)

Rohner D., Thoenig M. & Zilibotti F., 2013, “Seeds of distrust: conflict in Uganda“, Journal of Economic Growth, 18(3), 217-252.

Martin P., Mayer T. & Thoenig M. (2012), “The Geography of Conflicts and Regional Trade Agreements“, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 4(4), 1-35 (Lead Article).

Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2011, “Contrasting Trends in Firm Volatility“, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 3(4), 143-180. (Online Appendix)

Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2010, “A macroeconomic perspective on knowledge management“, Journal of Economic Growth, 15(1), 33-63.

Levchenko A., Rancière R. & Thoenig M., 2009, “Growth and Risk at the Industry-level: The Real Effects of Financial Liberalization“, Journal of Development Economics, 89(2), 210-222.

Landier A., Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2008, “Investigating the Origins of Capitalism-Aversion“, Economic Policy, Issue 55 (July).

Martin P., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2008, “Make Trade not War?“, Review of Economic Studies, 75(3).

Martin P., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2008, “Civil Wars and International Trade“, Journal of the European Economic Association, 6(2-3), 541-550.

Olivier J., Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2008, “Globalization and the Dynamics of Cultural Identity“, Journal of International Economics, 76, 356-370.

Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2007,  “From Flexibility to Insecurity: How Outsourcing Amplifies Firm Level UncertaintyJournal of the European Economic Association, 5(6), 1161-1202.

Askenazy P., Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2006, “On the Relation between organizational practices and new technologies: the role of time based Competition“, Economic Journal, 116 (January), 128-154.

Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2003, “A Theory of Defensive Skill-Biased Innovation and Globalization“, American Economic Review, 93(3), 709-728.

Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2000, “Creative Destruction and Firm Organization Choice“, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(4), 1201-1239.

Research Articles in French

Maurin E., Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2003, “Mondialisation des échanges et emploi: le rôle des exportations”, Economie et Statistiques, 33-44.

Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2003, “Une théorie de l’innovation défensive biasée vers le travail qualifié”, Economie et Statistiques, 19-32.

Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 1999, “Choix d’organisation dans un environnement instable: une analyse macroéconomique”, Revue Economique, 50(3), 393-403.


Martin P., Mayer T. & Thoenig M., 2006, La mondialisation est-elle un facteur de paix?, Editions de la Rue d’Ulm.

Thoenig M. & Verdier T., 2006, The impact of Rules of Origins on Strategic Outsourcing: an IO perspective. In Cadot O., Estevadeordal A., Suwa A. & Verdier T. (Eds.), The Origin of Goods, Oxford University Press.

Unpublished Working Papers

Maurin E., Thesmar D. & Thoenig M., 2002, “How globalization impacts the labor demand by skill? An export based channel”, CEPR Working Paper 3406.